Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2024-12-21 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 0 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

WPG: 62.8%

MIN: 37.2%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.32

MIN: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 42%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

MIN

Jesper Wallstedt - 11-2-3 | 0.928 SV% | 2.21 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	19	19	0	100.0%	2.37	1	2.37
MIN	Jesper Wallstedt	24	19	5	79.2%	3.17	2	-1.83

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • WPG at home vs MIN: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	MIN 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	MIN
2025-12-27	WPG 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	WPG
2025-11-23	WPG 0 - 3 MIN	MIN	WPG
2025-10-28	MIN 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	MIN
2024-12-21	WPG 5 - 0 MIN	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	15	2	1.51
1	MIN	12	1	1.04
2	WPG	12	0	0.51
2	MIN	12	0	0.86
3	WPG	14	0	1.15
3	MIN	11	0	0.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 0 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0