Seattle Kraken at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-12-21 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

VGK: 58.8%

SEA: 41.2%

Expected Goals

VGK: 4.76

SEA: 2.63

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • VGK at home vs SEA: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	VGK 4 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-09	SEA 4 - 3 VGK	SEA	VGK
2026-01-31	VGK 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	VGK
2025-10-11	SEA 2 - 1 VGK	SEA	VGK
2025-04-10	VGK 2 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	14	0	0.76
1	SEA	15	0	0.97
2	VGK	15	1	1.01
2	SEA	11	0	0.33
3	VGK	19	3	2.34
3	SEA	15	1	1.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 7.4

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 4.8 - 2.6