Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-12-22 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 1 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

NYR: 32.5%

CAR: 67.5%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.75

CAR: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 43%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	33	30	3	90.9%	5.48	4	2.48
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	23	22	1	95.7%	2.43	1	1.43

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • NYR at home vs CAR: 7-9

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NYR 0 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-29	CAR 3 - 2 NYR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-26	CAR 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	CAR
2025-11-04	NYR 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-12	CAR 7 - 3 NYR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	10	0	0.54
1	CAR	16	0	0.64
2	NYR	10	1	0.82
2	CAR	29	3	3.45
3	NYR	14	0	1.07
3	CAR	12	1	1.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 1 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.7 - 3.3