Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2024-12-22 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 1 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 31.1%
CAR: 68.9%
Expected Goals
NYR: 2.48
CAR: 3.63
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 42%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • NYR at home vs CAR: 3-6
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | NYR 0 - 2 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-12-29 | CAR 3 - 2 NYR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-11-26 | CAR 2 - 4 NYR | NYR | CAR |
| 2025-11-04 | NYR 0 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-04-12 | CAR 7 - 3 NYR | CAR | CAR |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYR | 10 | 0 | 0.54 |
| 1 | CAR | 16 | 0 | 0.64 |
| 2 | NYR | 10 | 1 | 0.82 |
| 2 | CAR | 29 | 3 | 3.45 |
| 3 | NYR | 14 | 0 | 1.07 |
| 3 | CAR | 12 | 1 | 1.39 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 68.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 1 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.5 - 3.6
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