Anaheim Ducks at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2024-12-22 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 4 - 5 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 60.2%
ANA: 39.8%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.33
ANA: 2.96
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 44%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • UTA at home vs ANA: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | UTA 1 - 4 ANA | ANA | UTA |
| 2025-12-03 | ANA 0 - 7 UTA | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-11-17 | ANA 3 - 2 UTA | ANA | UTA |
| 2025-03-12 | UTA 3 - 2 ANA | UTA | UTA |
| 2024-12-22 | UTA 4 - 5 ANA | ANA | UTA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UTA | 14 | 1 | 1.15 |
| 1 | ANA | 14 | 0 | 0.62 |
| 2 | UTA | 12 | 2 | 1.45 |
| 2 | ANA | 14 | 0 | 0.72 |
| 3 | UTA | 8 | 0 | 0.65 |
| 3 | ANA | 9 | 2 | 0.78 |
| 4 | UTA | 2 | 0 | 0.24 |
| 4 | ANA | 2 | 0 | 0.15 |
| 5 | UTA | 3 | 0 | 0.17 |
| 5 | ANA | 3 | 1 | 1.11 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 4 - 5 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.3 - 3.0
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