Anaheim Ducks at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2024-12-22 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 4 - 5 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 59.6%
ANA: 40.4%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.34
ANA: 3.07
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
| Stat | UTA | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.897 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.943 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 2.68 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • UTA at home vs ANA: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-03 | ANA 0 - 7 UTA | UTA | ANA |
| 2025-11-17 | ANA 3 - 2 UTA | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-03-12 | UTA 3 - 2 ANA | UTA | UTA |
| 2024-12-22 | UTA 4 - 5 ANA | ANA | UTA |
| 2024-10-16 | ANA 5 - 4 UTA | ANA | ANA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:26 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 04:56 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 16:09 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 02:39 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 05:57 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 10:49 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 12:35 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 15:15 | UTA | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | UTA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 4 - 5 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.3 - 3.1