Seattle Kraken at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2024-12-22 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

COL: 79.4%

SEA: 20.6%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.55

SEA: 2.42

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 37%

COL

Mackenzie Blackwood - 13-1-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.07 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Mackenzie Blackwood	19	17	2	89.5%	1.57	0	-0.43
SEA	Joey Daccord	29	24	5	82.8%	4.01	5	-0.99

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • COL at home vs SEA: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	COL 2 - 0 SEA	COL	COL
2026-03-12	SEA 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-12-16	SEA 3 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-22	COL 5 - 2 SEA	COL	COL
2024-11-05	COL 6 - 3 SEA	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	13	1	0.63
1	SEA	3	0	0.27
2	COL	14	2	1.58
2	SEA	14	0	0.74
3	COL	14	2	1.80
3	SEA	13	0	0.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 79.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.6 - 2.4