Washington Capitals at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2024-12-23 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 4 - 1 Washington Capitals
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 61.5%
WSH: 38.5%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.17
WSH: 2.92
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
| Stat | BOS | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.889 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.972 | 0.905 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 43% • BOS at home vs WSH: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-08 | WSH 1 - 3 BOS | BOS | WSH |
| 2025-04-01 | BOS 3 - 4 WSH | WSH | BOS |
| 2024-12-31 | WSH 3 - 1 BOS | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-12-23 | BOS 4 - 1 WSH | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-04-15 | WSH 2 - 0 BOS | WSH | WSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:12 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 04:50 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 13:41 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 15:59 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 18:38 | BOS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 4 - 1 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.2 - 2.9