Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2024-12-23 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 7 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 61.7%
PHI: 38.3%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.43
PHI: 2.84
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
| Stat | PIT | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.918 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.927 | 0.815 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • PIT at home vs PHI: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | PIT 6 - 3 PHI | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-12-01 | PHI 1 - 5 PIT | PIT | PHI |
| 2025-10-28 | PHI 3 - 2 PIT | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-02-27 | PIT 5 - 4 PHI | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-02-25 | PHI 6 - 1 PIT | PHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:44 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 16:15 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 11:53 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 06:12 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 01:29 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 18:48 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 13:06 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 04:29 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 19:48 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 17:30 | PIT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 7 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8