Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-12-23 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 7 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

PIT: 60.3%

PHI: 39.7%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.30

PHI: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • PIT at home vs PHI: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-29	PHI 1 - 0 PIT	PHI	PIT
2026-04-27	PIT 3 - 2 PHI	PIT	PHI
2026-04-25	PHI 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	PHI
2026-04-22	PHI 5 - 2 PIT	PHI	PHI
2026-04-20	PIT 0 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	14	1	1.18
1	PHI	10	0	0.43
2	PIT	11	0	0.47
2	PHI	16	1	1.12
3	PIT	10	1	1.45
3	PHI	10	0	0.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 7 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.3