San Jose Sharks at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-12-23 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

VAN: 56.7%

SJS: 43.3%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.68

SJS: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 37%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

SJS

Yaroslav Askarov - 15-10-1 | 0.896 SV% | 3.36 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	29	26	3	89.7%	2.90	1	-0.10
SJS	Yaroslav Askarov	24	20	4	83.3%	2.77	2	-1.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • VAN at home vs SJS: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SJS 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	SJS
2026-01-27	VAN 2 - 5 SJS	SJS	VAN
2025-12-27	VAN 3 - 6 SJS	SJS	VAN
2025-11-28	SJS 3 - 2 VAN	SJS	VAN
2025-04-14	VAN 2 - 1 SJS	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	13	1	1.24
1	SJS	16	1	1.14
2	VAN	19	1	1.39
2	SJS	8	0	0.25
3	VAN	6	0	0.14
3	SJS	25	0	1.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.7 - 3.1