Dallas Stars at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2024-12-23 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 3 Dallas Stars

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 51.0%

DAL: 49.0%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.09

DAL: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 38% • UTA at home vs DAL: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-16	DAL 3 - 6 UTA	UTA	DAL
2026-01-31	UTA 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	UTA
2026-01-15	UTA 2 - 1 DAL	UTA	UTA
2025-11-28	DAL 4 - 3 UTA	DAL	UTA
2025-04-12	DAL 3 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	16	3	1.40
1	DAL	12	0	0.70
2	UTA	7	1	0.60
2	DAL	25	1	2.01
3	UTA	15	0	0.87
3	DAL	9	1	0.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 3 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9