Boston Bruins at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2024-12-27 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 6 - 2 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

CBJ: 50.0%

BOS: 50.0%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.19

BOS: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

BOS

Joonas Korpisalo - 6-8-0 | 0.882 SV% | 3.60 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	26	24	2	92.3%	1.96	2	-0.04
BOS	Joonas Korpisalo	33	27	6	81.8%	3.87	2	-2.13

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CBJ at home vs BOS: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	CBJ 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	CBJ
2026-03-29	CBJ 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	CBJ
2026-02-26	BOS 4 - 2 CBJ	BOS	BOS
2024-12-28	BOS 4 - 0 CBJ	BOS	BOS
2024-12-27	CBJ 6 - 2 BOS	CBJ	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	20	1	1.41
1	BOS	8	0	0.33
2	CBJ	19	0	1.59
2	BOS	12	1	0.70
3	CBJ	13	1	0.87
3	BOS	15	1	0.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 6 - 2 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0