Colorado Avalanche at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2024-12-27 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 1 - 4 Colorado Avalanche
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 54.2%
COL: 45.8%
Expected Goals
UTA: 2.77
COL: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
| Stat | UTA | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.897 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.895 | 0.945 |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 43% • UTA at home vs COL: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | UTA 2 - 4 COL | COL | UTA |
| 2025-12-23 | COL 1 - 0 UTA | COL | COL |
| 2025-10-21 | UTA 4 - 3 COL | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-10-09 | COL 2 - 1 UTA | COL | COL |
| 2024-12-27 | UTA 1 - 4 COL | COL | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 11:52 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 03:42 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 14:44 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:10 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:34 | COL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 1 - 4 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 2.8 - 3.0