Montreal Canadiens at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-12-28 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 0 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 58.4%

MTL: 41.6%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.73

MTL: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 37%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • FLA at home vs MTL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	MTL 4 - 3 FLA	MTL	FLA
2026-01-08	MTL 6 - 2 FLA	MTL	FLA
2025-12-30	FLA 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-04-01	MTL 3 - 2 FLA	MTL	FLA
2025-03-30	FLA 2 - 4 MTL	MTL	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	FLA	12	0.53
1	MTL	11	0.62
2	FLA	20	0.82
2	MTL	10	0.68
3	FLA	14	0.94
3	MTL	9	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 0 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.7 - 3.1