Philadelphia Flyers at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2024-12-28 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 1 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 56.7%
PHI: 43.3%
Expected Goals
ANA: 2.41
PHI: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 43%
Over 6.5: 30%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
| Stat | ANA | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.918 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.895 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • ANA at home vs PHI: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 | PHI 5 - 2 ANA | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-01-11 | PHI 6 - 0 ANA | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-12-28 | ANA 1 - 3 PHI | PHI | ANA |
| 2023-11-10 | ANA 3 - 6 PHI | PHI | ANA |
| 2023-10-28 | PHI 4 - 7 ANA | ANA | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 04:03 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 15:38 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 05:57 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 17:40 | PHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.3
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 1 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 2.4 - 2.9