Philadelphia Flyers at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2024-12-28 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

ANA: 35.0%

PHI: 65.0%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.74

PHI: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs PHI: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-18	ANA 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	ANA
2026-01-06	PHI 5 - 2 ANA	PHI	PHI
2025-01-11	PHI 6 - 0 ANA	PHI	PHI
2024-12-28	ANA 1 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2023-11-10	ANA 3 - 6 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	16	0	0.77
1	PHI	11	0	0.65
2	ANA	19	1	1.33
2	PHI	19	0	1.36
3	ANA	13	0	0.53
3	PHI	11	4	2.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 2.7 - 3.2