Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2024-12-28 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 49.8%

EDM: 50.2%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.12

EDM: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	27	24	3	88.9%	2.68	2	-0.32
EDM	Stuart Skinner	29	25	4	86.2%	2.94	1	-1.06

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • LAK at home vs EDM: 6-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	EDM
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	17	0	0.74
1	EDM	16	2	1.33
2	LAK	15	0	0.99
2	EDM	13	0	0.86
3	LAK	7	0	0.59
3	EDM	9	0	0.43
4	LAK	6	1	0.63
4	EDM	1	0	0.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9