Columbus Blue Jackets at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-12-28 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 4 - 0 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

BOS: 62.7%

CBJ: 37.3%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.61

CBJ: 2.79

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 40%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	18	18	0	100.0%	1.76	1	1.76
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	28	24	4	85.7%	2.63	3	-1.37

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • BOS at home vs CBJ: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	CBJ 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	CBJ
2026-03-29	CBJ 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	CBJ
2026-02-26	BOS 4 - 2 CBJ	BOS	BOS
2024-12-28	BOS 4 - 0 CBJ	BOS	BOS
2024-12-27	CBJ 6 - 2 BOS	CBJ	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	15	1	1.14
1	CBJ	14	1	0.71
2	BOS	14	1	0.77
2	CBJ	13	0	0.49
3	BOS	10	1	0.71
3	CBJ	9	0	0.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 4 - 0 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.6 - 2.8