Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-12-28 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 1 - 3 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

SJS: 38.3%

CGY: 61.7%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.49

CGY: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • SJS at home vs CGY: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-26	SJS 1 - 4 CGY	CGY	SJS
2026-01-31	CGY 3 - 2 SJS	CGY	SJS
2025-12-16	SJS 6 - 3 CGY	SJS	CGY
2025-11-13	CGY 2 - 0 SJS	CGY	CGY
2025-04-13	CGY 5 - 2 SJS	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	10	0	0.42
1	CGY	28	1	1.57
2	SJS	12	0	0.82
2	CGY	16	1	1.90
3	SJS	14	0	0.68
3	CGY	12	2	1.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 1 - 3 Calgary Flames

Expected: 2.5 - 3.3