Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2024-12-29 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 5 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

CHI: 44.9%

DAL: 55.1%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.88

DAL: 3.39

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • CHI at home vs DAL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-08	DAL 4 - 3 CHI	DAL	DAL
2026-01-01	CHI 4 - 3 DAL	CHI	CHI
2025-12-27	DAL 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	CHI
2024-12-29	CHI 1 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-11-27	CHI 6 - 2 DAL	CHI	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	10	0	0.51
1	DAL	11	1	1.13
2	CHI	13	0	0.80
2	DAL	17	0	1.15
3	CHI	13	0	0.57
3	DAL	21	1	1.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 5 Dallas Stars

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4