Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2024-12-29 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 5 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 43.1%
EDM: 56.9%
Expected Goals
ANA: 2.71
EDM: 3.67
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 44%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 76% • ANA at home vs EDM: 6-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | ANA 5 - 2 EDM | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-04-28 | EDM 4 - 1 ANA | EDM | EDM |
| 2026-04-26 | ANA 4 - 3 EDM | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-04-24 | ANA 7 - 4 EDM | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-04-22 | EDM 4 - 6 ANA | ANA | EDM |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ANA | 10 | 0 | 0.68 |
| 1 | EDM | 9 | 1 | 0.72 |
| 2 | ANA | 23 | 1 | 2.52 |
| 2 | EDM | 13 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 3 | ANA | 13 | 2 | 1.70 |
| 3 | EDM | 13 | 0 | 0.49 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 5 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 2.7 - 3.7
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