Washington Capitals at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-12-29 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 2 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

DET: 59.2%

WSH: 40.8%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.26

WSH: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • DET at home vs WSH: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	DET 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-12-21	DET 3 - 2 WSH	DET	DET
2025-12-20	WSH 2 - 5 DET	DET	DET
2025-03-18	WSH 4 - 1 DET	WSH	WSH
2025-03-07	WSH 5 - 2 DET	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	22	0	1.71
1	WSH	9	0	0.34
2	DET	12	0	0.78
2	WSH	17	0	0.67
3	DET	9	1	0.68
3	WSH	21	0	1.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.3 - 3.3