TBL vs MTL - 2024-12-29
2024-12-29 • Amalie Arena
TBL 2 - 5 MTL
🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 68.8%
MTL: 31.2%
Expected Goals
TBL: 2.98
MTL: 2.63
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 18-7-2 | 0.912 SV% | 2.33 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 14-5-3 | 0.888 SV% | 3.01 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:07 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 00:37 | TBL | Goal |
| 2 | 12:34 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 18:28 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 18:54 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 12:32 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:08 | MTL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 68.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
TBL 2 - 5 MTL
Expected: 3.0 - 2.6