New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-12-29 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 2 New York Islanders

Win Probability

PIT: 56.4%

NYI: 43.6%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.62

NYI: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • PIT at home vs NYI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-30	NYI 3 - 8 PIT	PIT	PIT
2026-02-03	NYI 5 - 4 PIT	NYI	PIT
2025-10-09	PIT 4 - 3 NYI	PIT	PIT
2025-03-18	PIT 2 - 4 NYI	NYI	PIT
2024-12-29	PIT 3 - 2 NYI	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	10	0	0.61
1	NYI	10	0	0.57
2	PIT	24	0	1.05
2	NYI	20	1	1.12
3	PIT	21	2	1.73
3	NYI	15	1	1.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 2 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.6 - 3.0