Buffalo Sabres at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2024-12-29 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

STL: 41.8%

BUF: 58.2%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.73

BUF: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • STL at home vs BUF: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-29	STL 2 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-11-06	BUF 0 - 3 STL	STL	BUF
2024-12-29	STL 2 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2024-11-14	BUF 4 - 3 STL	BUF	BUF
2024-02-10	BUF 1 - 3 STL	STL	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	21	2	2.39
1	BUF	7	0	0.42
2	STL	13	0	0.76
2	BUF	9	0	0.64
3	STL	16	0	1.11
3	BUF	6	0	0.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 2.7 - 3.2