Ottawa Senators at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-12-29 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 1 - 3 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 57.2%

OTT: 42.8%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.38

OTT: 2.56

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 38%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • MIN at home vs OTT: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	OTT 1 - 4 MIN	MIN	OTT
2025-12-13	MIN 3 - 2 OTT	MIN	OTT
2025-02-01	OTT 6 - 0 MIN	OTT	OTT
2024-12-29	MIN 1 - 3 OTT	OTT	MIN
2024-04-02	MIN 3 - 2 OTT	MIN	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	14	0	0.44
1	OTT	16	0	0.61
2	MIN	13	0	0.63
2	OTT	20	1	1.22
3	MIN	16	0	0.84
3	OTT	16	2	1.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 1 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.4 - 2.6