Calgary Flames at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-12-29 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 0 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

VGK: 71.7%

CGY: 28.3%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.54

CGY: 2.57

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 92% • VGK at home vs CGY: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	VGK 6 - 3 CGY	VGK	VGK
2025-12-20	CGY 6 - 3 VGK	CGY	CGY
2025-10-18	VGK 6 - 1 CGY	VGK	VGK
2025-10-14	CGY 2 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-15	CGY 5 - 4 VGK	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	20	0	1.31
1	CGY	16	1	0.84
2	VGK	16	1	1.14
2	CGY	16	0	0.82
3	VGK	15	2	1.82
3	CGY	15	0	0.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 0 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.5 - 2.6