Philadelphia Flyers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2024-12-29 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 5 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

LAK: 60.6%

PHI: 39.4%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.96

PHI: 3.58

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 50%

Over 6.5: 39%

LAK

David Rittich - 16-14-2 | 0.886 SV% | 2.84 GAA

PHI

Aleksei Kolosov - 5-9-1 | 0.867 SV% | 3.59 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	David Rittich	21	17	4	81.0%	2.24	0	-1.76
PHI	Aleksei Kolosov	20	15	5	75.0%	2.71	1	-2.29

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs PHI: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	LAK 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	LAK
2026-01-31	PHI 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	PHI
2024-12-29	LAK 5 - 4 PHI	LAK	LAK
2024-12-19	PHI 3 - 7 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-11-11	LAK 2 - 4 PHI	PHI	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	13	0	0.63
1	PHI	12	0	0.63
2	LAK	16	0	1.03
2	PHI	12	0	0.64
3	LAK	11	1	1.05
3	PHI	15	0	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 7.5

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 5 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 4.0 - 3.6