New York Rangers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-12-30 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 3 New York Rangers

Win Probability

FLA: 66.2%

NYR: 33.8%

Expected Goals

FLA: 4.01

NYR: 2.67

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs NYR: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	FLA 3 - 2 NYR	FLA	FLA
2026-03-29	NYR 3 - 1 FLA	NYR	NYR
2026-01-02	FLA 1 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2025-04-14	FLA 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2024-12-30	FLA 5 - 3 NYR	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	12	0	0.61
1	NYR	16	0	0.75
2	FLA	15	1	0.86
2	NYR	18	1	1.57
3	FLA	12	3	1.64
3	NYR	25	1	1.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 5 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 4.0 - 2.7