Carolina Hurricanes at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2024-12-31 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 41.6%
CAR: 58.4%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 2.53
CAR: 3.19
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 46%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CBJ at home vs CAR: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | CAR 5 - 1 CBJ | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-03-31 | CBJ 2 - 5 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-03-17 | CBJ 5 - 1 CAR | CBJ | CAR |
| 2025-12-09 | CAR 4 - 1 CBJ | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-01-23 | CAR 7 - 4 CBJ | CAR | CAR |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CBJ | 14 | 1 | 0.67 |
| 1 | CAR | 23 | 0 | 1.22 |
| 2 | CBJ | 10 | 0 | 0.64 |
| 2 | CAR | 16 | 1 | 1.39 |
| 3 | CBJ | 10 | 0 | 0.42 |
| 3 | CAR | 11 | 1 | 0.44 |
| 4 | CBJ | 5 | 0 | 0.33 |
| 4 | CAR | 3 | 0 | 0.26 |
| 5 | CBJ | 4 | 2 | 1.91 |
| 5 | CAR | 4 | 1 | 0.60 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.5 - 3.2
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