New Jersey Devils at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2024-12-31 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

ANA: 52.3%

NJD: 47.7%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.97

NJD: 2.81

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	34	32	2	94.1%	2.95	0	0.95
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	26	23	3	88.5%	2.99	4	-0.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • ANA at home vs NJD: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	NJD 4 - 1 ANA	NJD	NJD
2025-11-02	ANA 4 - 1 NJD	ANA	ANA
2024-12-31	ANA 3 - 2 NJD	ANA	ANA
2024-10-27	NJD 6 - 2 ANA	NJD	NJD
2024-03-01	ANA 4 - 3 NJD	ANA	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	8	1	0.52
1	NJD	26	0	1.71
2	ANA	16	2	1.32
2	NJD	8	0	0.37
3	ANA	13	1	1.16
3	NJD	19	0	0.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.0 - 2.8