Philadelphia Flyers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2024-12-31 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 0 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 35.1%
PHI: 64.9%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.76
PHI: 3.43
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 46%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SJS at home vs PHI: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | SJS 1 - 4 PHI | PHI | SJS |
| 2025-12-09 | PHI 4 - 1 SJS | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-12-31 | SJS 0 - 4 PHI | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-11-11 | PHI 4 - 3 SJS | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-03-12 | PHI 3 - 2 SJS | PHI | PHI |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SJS | 9 | 0 | 0.42 |
| 1 | PHI | 13 | 0 | 0.69 |
| 2 | SJS | 12 | 0 | 0.64 |
| 2 | PHI | 18 | 1 | 1.63 |
| 3 | SJS | 10 | 0 | 0.67 |
| 3 | PHI | 19 | 0 | 0.91 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 64.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 0 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 2.8 - 3.4
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.