Philadelphia Flyers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2024-12-31 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 0 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 56.7%
PHI: 43.3%
Expected Goals
SJS: 3.06
PHI: 2.99
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
| Stat | SJS | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.874 | 0.918 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.944 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • SJS at home vs PHI: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 | PHI 4 - 1 SJS | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-12-31 | SJS 0 - 4 PHI | PHI | SJS |
| 2024-11-11 | PHI 4 - 3 SJS | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-03-12 | PHI 3 - 2 SJS | PHI | PHI |
| 2023-11-07 | SJS 2 - 1 PHI | SJS | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:59 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 12:09 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 13:44 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 02:30 | PHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 0 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0