Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-12-31 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

CGY: 56.5%

VAN: 43.5%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.28

VAN: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • CGY at home vs VAN: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CGY 7 - 3 VAN	CGY	CGY
2025-11-23	VAN 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-10-09	VAN 5 - 1 CGY	VAN	VAN
2025-03-12	CGY 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	CGY
2024-12-31	CGY 3 - 1 VAN	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	16	2	1.32
1	VAN	16	0	0.81
2	CGY	13	0	0.68
2	VAN	10	1	0.84
3	CGY	14	2	1.47
3	VAN	10	0	0.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0