Utah Hockey Club at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-12-31 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 1 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

EDM: 65.5%

UTA: 34.5%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.69

UTA: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • EDM at home vs UTA: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	UTA 6 - 5 EDM	UTA	EDM
2026-03-24	UTA 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-28	EDM 6 - 3 UTA	EDM	EDM
2025-03-18	EDM 7 - 1 UTA	EDM	EDM
2024-12-31	EDM 4 - 1 UTA	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	17	0	0.69
1	UTA	16	1	1.04
2	EDM	22	1	1.76
2	UTA	9	0	0.62
3	EDM	11	1	1.79
3	UTA	18	0	0.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 1 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.7 - 2.9