Utah Hockey Club at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-12-31 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 1 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

EDM: 67.0%

UTA: 33.0%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.34

UTA: 2.79

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

UTA

J. Stauber

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	27	26	1	96.3%	2.46	1	1.46
UTA	J. Stauber	38	34	4	89.5%	4.24	2	0.24

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • EDM at home vs UTA: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	UTA 6 - 5 EDM	UTA	UTA
2026-03-24	UTA 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-28	EDM 6 - 3 UTA	EDM	EDM
2025-03-18	EDM 7 - 1 UTA	EDM	EDM
2024-12-31	EDM 4 - 1 UTA	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	17	0	0.69
1	UTA	16	1	1.04
2	EDM	22	1	1.76
2	UTA	9	0	0.62
3	EDM	11	1	1.79
3	UTA	18	0	0.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 1 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8