Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2025-01-02 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 1 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 57.1%
CAR: 42.9%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.01
CAR: 2.99
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
| Stat | FLA | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.915 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.833 | 0.930 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • FLA at home vs CAR: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | CAR 9 - 1 FLA | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-12-23 | CAR 2 - 5 FLA | FLA | CAR |
| 2025-12-19 | FLA 4 - 3 CAR | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-05-28 | CAR 3 - 5 FLA | FLA | CAR |
| 2025-05-26 | FLA 0 - 3 CAR | CAR | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:35 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 02:17 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 12:30 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:32 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 1 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 3.0 - 3.0