Detroit Red Wings at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2025-01-02 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 5 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 60.6%
DET: 39.4%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 3.74
DET: 2.66
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 18-12-6 | 0.910 SV% | 2.62 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | CBJ | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.928 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.879 | — |
| GAA | 2.62 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • CBJ at home vs DET: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | CBJ 6 - 5 DET | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-11-22 | DET 4 - 3 CBJ | DET | DET |
| 2025-03-01 | CBJ 5 - 3 DET | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-02-27 | DET 2 - 5 CBJ | CBJ | DET |
| 2025-01-02 | CBJ 4 - 5 DET | DET | CBJ |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:09 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 14:39 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 06:55 | CBJ | Goal |
| 1 | 02:42 | CBJ | Goal |
| 2 | 18:40 | CBJ | Goal |
| 2 | 11:09 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 19:24 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 17:19 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 04:54 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 5 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.7 - 2.7