Ottawa Senators at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2025-01-02 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 4 - 2 Ottawa Senators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 58.3%
OTT: 41.7%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.55
OTT: 3.11
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | DAL | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.882 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.931 | 0.847 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • DAL at home vs OTT: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | DAL 6 - 1 OTT | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-11-11 | OTT 2 - 3 DAL | DAL | OTT |
| 2025-01-12 | OTT 3 - 2 DAL | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-01-02 | DAL 4 - 2 OTT | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-02-22 | OTT 4 - 1 DAL | OTT | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:39 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 07:45 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 08:09 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 10:19 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 11:27 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 13:37 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 4 - 2 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.5 - 3.1