Anaheim Ducks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-01-02 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 59.7%

ANA: 40.3%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.59

ANA: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 37%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	24	20	4	83.3%	1.42	0	-2.58
ANA	John Gibson	30	27	3	90.0%	3.87	4	0.87

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • WPG at home vs ANA: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	WPG 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	WPG
2026-02-27	ANA 5 - 4 WPG	ANA	ANA
2025-11-09	ANA 4 - 1 WPG	ANA	ANA
2025-04-16	WPG 2 - 1 ANA	WPG	WPG
2025-01-02	WPG 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	13	1	0.85
1	ANA	14	0	0.72
2	WPG	17	2	1.55
2	ANA	7	0	0.36
3	WPG	17	1	1.24
3	ANA	12	0	0.27
4	WPG	3	0	0.23
4	ANA	2	0	0.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.6 - 3.2