Anaheim Ducks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-01-02 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 62.3%
ANA: 37.7%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.31
ANA: 2.77
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
| Stat | WPG | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.958 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 57% • WPG at home vs ANA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | ANA 4 - 1 WPG | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-04-16 | WPG 2 - 1 ANA | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-01-02 | WPG 3 - 4 ANA | ANA | WPG |
| 2024-12-18 | ANA 3 - 2 WPG | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-03-15 | WPG 6 - 0 ANA | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:58 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 17:17 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 00:33 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 06:52 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 18:10 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 17:16 | WPG | Goal |
| 4 | 03:34 | ANA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.3 - 2.8