Buffalo Sabres at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2025-01-02 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 6 - 5 Buffalo Sabres
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 62.6%
BUF: 37.4%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.55
BUF: 2.88
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | COL | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.934 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.964 | 0.875 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs BUF: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 | COL 6 - 3 BUF | COL | COL |
| 2025-10-13 | BUF 1 - 3 COL | COL | BUF |
| 2025-01-02 | COL 6 - 5 BUF | COL | COL |
| 2024-12-03 | BUF 4 - 5 COL | COL | BUF |
| 2023-12-13 | COL 5 - 1 BUF | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:17 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 17:10 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 11:08 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 14:58 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 01:05 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 01:27 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 04:17 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 16:09 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 17:34 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 19:52 | COL | Goal |
| 4 | 00:48 | COL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 6 - 5 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.6 - 2.9