Philadelphia Flyers at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2025-01-02 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 62.8%
PHI: 37.2%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.46
PHI: 2.57
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
| Stat | VGK | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.918 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.895 | 0.864 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VGK at home vs PHI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | VGK 1 - 2 PHI | PHI | VGK |
| 2025-12-11 | PHI 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | PHI |
| 2025-01-02 | VGK 5 - 2 PHI | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-11-25 | PHI 4 - 5 VGK | VGK | PHI |
| 2023-11-18 | PHI 4 - 3 VGK | PHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:21 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 18:22 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 02:13 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 00:51 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 19:24 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 04:56 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 02:46 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.5 - 2.6