Pittsburgh Penguins at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2025-01-03 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 60.0%
PIT: 40.0%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.25
PIT: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | FLA | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.706 | 0.921 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 57% • FLA at home vs PIT: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-23 | FLA 3 - 5 PIT | PIT | FLA |
| 2025-03-23 | FLA 4 - 3 PIT | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-01-03 | FLA 3 - 2 PIT | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-12-03 | PIT 5 - 4 FLA | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-02-14 | PIT 2 - 5 FLA | FLA | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 11:09 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 00:36 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:20 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 08:48 | FLA | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | FLA | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | FLA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9