Montreal Canadiens at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2025-01-03 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 2 Montreal Canadiens
🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 43.4%
MTL: 56.6%
Expected Goals
CHI: 2.71
MTL: 2.88
Total Goals
Median: 4.7
Over 5.5: 39%
Over 6.5: 30%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Spencer Knight - 19-25-11 | 0.902 SV% | 2.82 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | CHI | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.903 | 0.933 |
| GAA | 2.63 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CHI at home vs MTL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 | MTL 4 - 1 CHI | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-10-11 | CHI 2 - 3 MTL | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-04-14 | MTL 3 - 4 CHI | CHI | MTL |
| 2025-01-03 | CHI 4 - 2 MTL | CHI | MTL |
| 2023-12-22 | CHI 2 - 5 MTL | MTL | MTL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:21 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 18:24 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 07:05 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 03:01 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 09:45 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 15:51 | CHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 2 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 2.7 - 2.9
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