Ottawa Senators at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-01-03 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 4 - 0 Ottawa Senators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 62.3%
OTT: 37.7%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.50
OTT: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | STL | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.826 | 0.882 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.893 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 3.56 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs OTT: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | OTT 1 - 2 STL | STL | OTT |
| 2025-11-28 | STL 4 - 3 OTT | STL | STL |
| 2025-01-03 | STL 4 - 0 OTT | STL | STL |
| 2024-10-29 | OTT 8 - 1 STL | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-03-21 | OTT 2 - 5 STL | STL | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:26 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 15:50 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 14:15 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:07 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 4 - 0 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.5 - 2.9