Ottawa Senators at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-01-03 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 4 - 0 Ottawa Senators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 64.3%
OTT: 35.7%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.48
OTT: 2.40
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 44%
Over 6.5: 31%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | STL | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.917 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.976 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 2.87 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • STL at home vs OTT: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | OTT 1 - 2 STL | STL | OTT |
| 2025-11-28 | STL 4 - 3 OTT | STL | STL |
| 2025-01-03 | STL 4 - 0 OTT | STL | STL |
| 2024-10-29 | OTT 8 - 1 STL | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-03-21 | OTT 2 - 5 STL | STL | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:26 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 15:50 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 14:15 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:07 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 64.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 4 - 0 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.5 - 2.4
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