Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-01-03 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

EDM: 77.2%

ANA: 22.8%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.69

ANA: 2.55

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 43%

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	29	27	2	93.1%	2.35	3	0.35
ANA	Lukas Dostal	26	23	3	88.5%	3.54	2	0.54

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • EDM at home vs ANA: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	ANA 5 - 2 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-28	EDM 4 - 1 ANA	EDM	EDM
2026-04-26	ANA 4 - 3 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-24	ANA 7 - 4 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-22	EDM 4 - 6 ANA	ANA	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	13	0	0.97
1	ANA	13	0	0.73
2	EDM	16	0	1.09
2	ANA	12	0	0.38
3	EDM	17	2	1.49
3	ANA	14	3	1.24

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 77.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.7 - 2.5