New Jersey Devils at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2025-01-04 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Win (63% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 36.9%
NJD: 63.1%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.65
NJD: 3.37
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | SJS | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.873 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.929 | — |
| GAA | 3.36 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • SJS at home vs NJD: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 | SJS 5 - 2 NJD | SJS | NJD |
| 2025-10-24 | NJD 3 - 1 SJS | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-01-04 | SJS 3 - 2 NJD | SJS | NJD |
| 2024-11-10 | NJD 0 - 1 SJS | SJS | NJD |
| 2024-02-27 | SJS 2 - 7 NJD | NJD | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:40 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 04:19 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 01:53 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 05:07 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 19:35 | SJS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 2.6 - 3.4
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