Minnesota Wild at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-01-04 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 0 - 4 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 57.1%
MIN: 42.9%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.45
MIN: 2.67
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
| Stat | CAR | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.836 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.852 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • CAR at home vs MIN: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 | MIN 4 - 3 CAR | MIN | CAR |
| 2025-11-06 | CAR 4 - 3 MIN | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-02-06 | MIN 2 - 1 CAR | MIN | CAR |
| 2025-01-04 | CAR 0 - 4 MIN | MIN | CAR |
| 2024-02-27 | MIN 2 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:03 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 11:30 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 09:20 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 17:14 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 0 - 4 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.4 - 2.7
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