Nashville Predators at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2025-01-04 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 1 - 4 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 61.7%
NSH: 38.3%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.05
NSH: 2.68
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 21-17-5 | 0.892 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | CGY | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.877 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.864 | 0.930 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CGY at home vs NSH: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | CGY 3 - 4 NSH | NSH | CGY |
| 2025-12-02 | NSH 5 - 1 CGY | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-11-01 | NSH 4 - 2 CGY | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-01-04 | CGY 1 - 4 NSH | NSH | CGY |
| 2024-12-10 | NSH 3 - 4 CGY | CGY | NSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 18:22 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 11:37 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 04:21 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 18:33 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 09:19 | NSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 1 - 4 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.0 - 2.7