Nashville Predators at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2025-01-04 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 1 - 4 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 66.9%
NSH: 33.1%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.37
NSH: 2.82
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 28-21-8 | 0.894 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | CGY | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.884 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.864 | 0.930 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CGY at home vs NSH: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | CGY 3 - 4 NSH | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-12-02 | NSH 5 - 1 CGY | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-11-01 | NSH 4 - 2 CGY | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-01-04 | CGY 1 - 4 NSH | NSH | CGY |
| 2024-12-10 | NSH 3 - 4 CGY | CGY | NSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 04:21 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 11:37 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 18:22 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 09:19 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 18:33 | NSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 66.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 1 - 4 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8
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