Tampa Bay Lightning at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2025-01-04 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 2 - 1 Tampa Bay Lightning
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 62.0%
TBL: 38.0%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.05
TBL: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 28-7-3 | 0.920 SV% | 2.11 GAA
| Stat | LAK | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.866 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.826 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 2.27 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • LAK at home vs TBL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | LAK 3 - 5 TBL | TBL | LAK |
| 2025-12-18 | TBL 1 - 2 LAK | LAK | TBL |
| 2025-01-30 | TBL 3 - 0 LAK | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-01-04 | LAK 2 - 1 TBL | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-03-23 | LAK 4 - 3 TBL | LAK | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:09 | TBL | Goal |
| 1 | 07:58 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 14:12 | LAK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 2 - 1 Tampa Bay Lightning
Expected: 3.1 - 2.9