Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2025-01-04 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 2 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 57.8%
EDM: 42.2%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.26
EDM: 3.03
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
| Stat | SEA | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.841 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.847 | — |
| GAA | 2.77 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • SEA at home vs EDM: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | EDM 9 - 4 SEA | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-11-29 | SEA 0 - 4 EDM | EDM | SEA |
| 2025-10-25 | SEA 3 - 2 EDM | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-03-27 | SEA 6 - 1 EDM | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-03-22 | EDM 5 - 4 SEA | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:57 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 05:18 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 11:52 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 15:56 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 07:27 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 18:02 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 2 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.3 - 3.0