Vancouver Canucks at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2025-01-06 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 5 - 4 Vancouver Canucks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 63.7%
VAN: 36.3%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.52
VAN: 2.71
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
| Stat | MTL | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.885 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.903 | 0.793 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.833 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 3.41 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MTL at home vs VAN: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | MTL 6 - 3 VAN | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-10-25 | VAN 3 - 4 MTL | MTL | VAN |
| 2025-03-11 | VAN 2 - 4 MTL | MTL | VAN |
| 2025-01-06 | MTL 5 - 4 VAN | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-03-21 | VAN 4 - 1 MTL | VAN | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:07 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 10:47 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 03:21 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 03:41 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 10:35 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 02:01 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 06:54 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 08:51 | MTL | Goal |
| 4 | 00:48 | MTL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 5 - 4 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.5 - 2.7