Edmonton Oilers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2025-01-07 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 0 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 56.3%
EDM: 43.7%
Expected Goals
BOS: 2.84
EDM: 3.20
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
| Stat | BOS | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.889 | 0.841 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.918 | 0.923 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • BOS at home vs EDM: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | EDM 2 - 6 BOS | BOS | EDM |
| 2025-12-18 | BOS 1 - 3 EDM | EDM | BOS |
| 2025-01-07 | BOS 0 - 4 EDM | EDM | BOS |
| 2024-12-19 | EDM 3 - 2 BOS | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-03-05 | BOS 1 - 2 EDM | EDM | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:33 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 11:11 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 16:35 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 16:25 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 0 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 2.8 - 3.2