Edmonton Oilers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-01-07 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 0 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

BOS: 48.8%

EDM: 51.2%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.15

EDM: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	39	35	4	89.7%	5.85	8	1.85
EDM	Stuart Skinner	26	26	0	100.0%	2.84	3	2.84

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BOS at home vs EDM: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-31	EDM 2 - 6 BOS	BOS	EDM
2025-12-18	BOS 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-01-07	BOS 0 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-12-19	EDM 3 - 2 BOS	EDM	EDM
2024-03-05	BOS 1 - 2 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	13	2	1.08
1	EDM	19	3	1.90
2	BOS	8	1	0.69
2	EDM	18	1	1.48
3	BOS	15	0	1.07
3	EDM	15	4	2.47

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 0 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3