Dallas Stars at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2025-01-07 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 4 - 5 Dallas Stars
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 49.7%
DAL: 50.3%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.09
DAL: 3.49
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | NYR | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.942 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.923 | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • NYR at home vs DAL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-02 | NYR 3 - 2 DAL | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-01-07 | NYR 4 - 5 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-12-20 | DAL 1 - 3 NYR | NYR | DAL |
| 2024-02-20 | NYR 3 - 1 DAL | NYR | NYR |
| 2023-11-20 | DAL 6 - 3 NYR | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:56 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 09:55 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 11:24 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 12:57 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 15:56 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 13:14 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 12:56 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 17:21 | NYR | Goal |
| 4 | 02:17 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 4 - 5 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.1 - 3.5