St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-01-07 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 6 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

MIN: 51.6%

STL: 48.4%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.22

STL: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 46%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	33	29	4	87.9%	2.19	2	-1.81
STL	Jordan Binnington	26	20	6	76.9%	2.10	1	-3.90

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • MIN at home vs STL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	STL 6 - 3 MIN	STL	MIN
2026-03-01	MIN 1 - 3 STL	STL	MIN
2025-10-09	STL 0 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-03-15	MIN 1 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-07	MIN 6 - 4 STL	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	11	0	0.66
1	STL	20	0	0.88
2	MIN	14	0	0.57
2	STL	8	0	0.36
3	MIN	8	1	0.87
3	STL	21	2	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 6 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1